Prediksi Pergerakan Hang Seng 5 Agustus 2009

Indikator yang dipergunakan :

RSI (relative Strenght Index )

William Percentage (%W)
Stochastic Oscilator

Technical Analysis :

Support Resistance

Referensi Harga Support Resistance diambil dari Link berikut :

http://www.actionforex.com/resources/tools/forex-pivot-point-calculator-200603205708/

Data pergerakan Hang Seng Closed kemarin :

High : 21.210

Low : 20.676

Closed : 20.745

Dari perhitungan PIVOT diperoleh bahwa harga Support Resistance adalah :

Support 1 : 21.080

Support 2 : 21.410

Support 3 : 21.600

Resistance 1 : 20.540

Resistance 2 : 20.340

Resistance 3 : 20.000

Dari perhitungan Data PIVOT diatas diperoleh bahwa jika hari ini harga 21.080 (Support 1 ) tertembus berarti harga akan test ke 21.410 (Support 2) pada hari ini.

Kronologis harga pergerakan : Harga kronologis pada bulan Maret dan Juli 2009 Level Hang Seng ada di kisaran 21.900 ( terjadi gap ). Artinya 21.900 adalah level resistance berikutnya jika harga pergerakan 21.410 (Support 2) tertembus.

Hal ini sekaligus membuktikan bahwa major resistance dianggap sangat kuat. Jika terjadi breakout lagi trendline tersebut, proyeksi uptrend masih sangat terbuka ke level 21.900. Lapis resisten di 21.080 dan 21.410 tetap berlaku selama tidak terjadi koreksi hingga melewati ambang bawah di 20.300 atau bahkan psikologis 20.000, setidaknya dalam pekan ini, karena kedua support tersebut menjadi toleransi pelemahannya yang

diperkirakan dalam 2 hari terakhir.

Transaksi Long Term :

Transaksi Long Term untuk “BUY” ada kisaran level 20.000. (dalam minggu ini )

Transaksi Day Trade :

Untuk transaksi daytrade pertimbangan BUY atau SELL adalah sebagai berikut :

1. Metoda PIVOT : dari perhitungan PIVOT (dihitung dari harga High + Low + Closed dibagi 3) yaitu sebesar 20.870. Ketentuan untuk BUY atau SELL adalah bahwa :· jika harga Open sesi pagi “lebih besar” dari harga PIVOT maka Lakukan aksi SELL.

· jika harga Open sesi pagi “lebih kecil” harga PIVOT maka Lakukan aksi BUY

Jika dilihat dari open di level 20.803, maka karena PIVOT di 20.870 maka bisa lakukan aksi BUY.

2. Analisa Indikator Moving Average .

Dari CHART PERGERAKAN HANG SENG TGL 5 JAM 8.45 WIB – 11.30 WIB

diatas terlihat saat MVA skala 5 menit , kecenderungan pergerakan adalah Trend Naik.

Dan ini mendukung PIVOT untuk BUY di harga Open (20.803)

3. Indikator RSI., William Percentage, Stochastic Osc.

• Indikator RSI saat open sangat membantu mengatahui harga akan naik atau turun. Jika Harga RSI open ada dikisaran 70 bisa jadi trend akan naik sekitar 100 atau 150 point.
• Jika harga RSI ada dikisaran dibawah 70, maka kemungkinan harga akan bergerak mengikuti analisa William Percentage dan Stochastic. Juga bagaimana pembacaan Moving Average Skala 5, 15 dan 30 menit.

4. Analisa Candle (untuk investor yang waktunya agak longgar )

Untuk transaksi Day Trade, analisa bisa dilakukan dengan membaca pergerakan tiap-tiap candle. Jika dari open market indicator MVA, RSI, William, dan Stochastic OSC menunjukan kesamaan indikasi untuk masuk market, maka bisa ambil keputusan untuk masuk market. Perlu diingat kegagalan salah satu indicator pendukung akan menyebabkan kesalahan pengambilan posisi market.

Perlu selalu diperhatikan bahwa Full Candle berarti meneruskan TREND dan sebaliknya jika Candle berbentuk Hanging Man maka indikasikan TREND berbalik arah.

Dari perhitungan PIVOT diatas, Harga Resistace 1 di level 21.080. Artinya jika harga bergerak di kisaran 21.080 maka bisa mengambil posisi SELL dengan catatan bahwa indicator RSI sudah Overbough atau kisaran 70-80- atau 90. Artinya jika yakin harga Cuma sampai 21.000 bisa saja mengambil posisi SELL.

Untuk BUY bisa melihat harga Support Hasil perhitungan yaitu dikisaran 20.500. Jika harga tidak bisa mencapai harga 20.500 maka lihat pada pergerakan bentuk candle , indicator MVA, RSI dan Stochastic Osc. Atau jika harga kembali ke harga low maka bisa diindikasikan untuk kembali BUY . Jika Harga LOW tertembus / break low 20.800 maka tunggu harga di 20.700 atau 20.670 an. Pastikan bahwa Indikator RSI di kisaran 20 atau 30 dan Stochastic menunjukkan trend OverSlod jika ingin ambil posisi BUY.

5. Harga Perhitungan Support dan Resistance Hari ini.

Perlu dipertimbangkan juga bahwa Pergerakan harga selalu mengulang harga2 yang pernah terjadi sebelumnya dan harga perhitungan Support Resistance yang diperoleh.

6. Karakter Pergerakan / Pola Hang Seng dan Nikkei

Pola pergerakan indek selalu membentuk pola-pola tertentu.

Pola Konsolidasi, Pola Up TREND, Pola Down TREND, Pola Resonansi.

Untuk melakukan trading harian / Day Trade pengenalan pola ini sangat membantu menentukan pada level mana kita akan mengambil harga baik beli atau jual.

Fundamental News :

Saham-saham di Wall Street masih melanjutkan penguatan di tengah perdagangan yang cukup bergejolak. Saham-saham seharusnya sudah mulai mengalami koreksi, namun sebagian besar investor masih melanjutkan aksi beli dalam semangat ekonomi yang terus membaik

Bagaimana Mengurangi Kesalahan Trading

Market selalu bergerak dengan membentuk pola tertentu.

POLA 1 :

Pola Uptrend - pola uptrend biasanya sudah bisa dilihat saat open market yaitu saat open dengan indikator RSI 70. Pada saat ini jika kondisi market DJIA Plus cukup besar maka kondisi uptrend pasti terjadi. Awalnya akan mencoba naik sekitar 100 atau 150 point dari posisi market. Dan kondisi setelah menembus 100 atau 150 point sangat dianjurkan untuk membaca bagaimana fundamental market yang menggerakkannya. Antara lain market Amerika dan China.

Pola uptrend juga ditunjukkan dengan indikator Moving Average skala 9 dan 14 hari yang cenderung uptrend, RSI yang bergerak kisaran 60 s/d 70 kemudian mencoba kembali ke RSI 74 atau 80. Kondisi pergerakan akan bergerak dikisaran 60, 70 ke 75 atau 80 sementara indikator pembantu seperti William %R akan menunjukkan naik dan turunnya indek namun cenderung uptrend.

Bagaimana kalau ternyata market turun , adakah sinyal yang memberikan indikasi market akan turun ?

Betul .. indikasi market akan turun (sedikit atau banyak) bisa dilihat dengan membuka dan membandingkan pola pergerakan Moving Average skala 5 menit, 15 menit dan 30 menit. Pola yang dibentuk dengan 5 menit akan berbeda dengan pola 15 menit dan 30 menit. Jadi untuk melihat market akan turun secara jelas bisa dibaca dari Moving Average tersebut. Jika anda perhatikan maka keputusan terbaik berapa besar point indek akan naik dan turun adalah dengan melihat kombinasi Moving Averagenya. Dari pola Moving Average yang terbentuk maka bisa ditentukan peluang dan resiko saat anda mengambil keputusan masuk market.

Jika ini sudah dilakukan maka sedikit membantu dalam membaca pergerakan indeks.

Apa yang harus dilakukan jika market melawan prediksi Anda ?
Jika anda termasuk tipe day trade, maka tidak salah jika anda melakukan transaksi dengan management plan trading sebagai berikut :

1. Jika Anda tahu bahwa keuntungan lebih besar dari resiko , maka yang paling tepat dilakukan adalah dengan membuat batasan besar resiko anda sendiri seperti cut loss (berupa nilai uang yang harus dipertaruhkan jika resiko buruk terjadi). Dan kedua adalah segera secepat mungkin melakukan posisi switching dan memanfaatkan pergerakan yang melawan posisi Anda. Ini adalah langkah yang bijaksana untuk mempertahankan kesalahan yang cenderung memperbesar kerugian. Cut Loss biasanya lebih banyak ditempuh oleh Day Trader / Investor yang sungguh-sungguh mengetahui resiko dan tidak suka berkompromi dengan kerugian.

2. Plan trading yang terbaik adalah plan trading diri Anda sendiri. Artinya buatlah plan trading yang membentuk pola pikir seorang trader dan bukan pola pikir seorang gambler. Dalam beberapa kasus sangat penting untuk membuat batasan Anda sendiri . Anda bisa mencatat kebiasaan Anda mengenali pola market indek secara rutin hari tiap hari. Bentuklah pola pikir yang otomatis membantu Anda bertransaksi. Perlu diketahui tidak ada seorangpun yang dilahirkan menjadi seorang trader. Semua perlu dilatih dan dicatat dalam pikiran dan secara spontan dilatih dalam transaksi. Contoh , catat indikator-indikator atau kebiasaan-kebiasaan market, teknikal (RSI, William %R, MFI, Moving Average, Candlestick) , perubahan-perubahan nilai Indek DJIA, Indeks China dalam setiap melakukan transaksi. Batasi kelemahan Anda dengan bantuan alat-alat tadi. Setidaknya ini mengurangi kelemahan Anda dan memanage psikologi trading Anda tetap baik.

Topik Selanjutnya : Bagaimana Membuat Website Bisnis ?

Jika Anda tipe Day Trade Indek

Berikut beberapa pertimbangan untuk melakukan transaksi secara short term ( modal Rp 100 juta)

Karakter Hang Seng : Fluktuasi harian 500 sampai 700 poin.
Karakter Nikkei : Fluktuasi harian 100 sampai 300 poin.

Moving Average :

Pergerakan naik dan turun selalu mengacu pada pergerakan moving average. Yang perlu dikuasai dalam hal ini adalah kecermatan anda melihat jarak harga running dan moving average dan kecenderungan trend.

Jika bergerak side ways / datar / konsolidasi / harga bergerak bolak balik maka peluang profit bisa diambil dengan mengambil buy saat harga dibawah dan sell saat harga tinggi ( harga bawah dan atas adalah harga yang tetap di kisaran yang sama saat konsolidasi )

Jika harga bergerak trend naik atau kontinue naik yang perlu dilakukan adalah melakukan aksi buy secara berurutan dengan beda jarak buy 1 (bawah ) dan buy 2 (atas) sebesar 30 point.

Tidak lebih dari itu. Jika harga buy 1 sudah profit misal Rp 1,8 juta maka buy 1 bisa diliquid. otomatis posisi di market open 1 lot yaitu buy 2. Jika posisi buy 2 masih bergerak naik dan profit, maka bisa mengambil kembali buy baru sekitar 30 point dari posisi buy 2. katakanlah buy 3. Artinya posisi buy 2 nya bisa diliquid saat profit katakalah 2 juta. Jika harga buy 3 ternyata belum profit dan harga berbalik turun, maka saat harga turun 30 - 50 maka bisa ambil posisi sell 1. Artinya posisi sekarang adalah locking posisi buy3 dan sell1. Langkah selanjutnya adalah menjaga agar jarak antara buy dan sell selalu 100 point. Ini saya sebut sebagai memanage equity atau menjaga resiko transaksi tetap 100 point. 100 point inilah yang harus tetap dipertahankan. Strategi kapan ambil posisi baru (buy atau sell ) atau kapan melepas posisi harus dengan pertimbangan 100 point jarak buy dan sell nya dan menguasai pembacaan ke harga berapa level akan bergerak.

Artinya saat level posisi berada di bawah moving maka setting posisi adalah :
Buy di harga bawah Sell di harga terdekat Moving Average dengan catatan posisi Buy Sell sebesar 100 poin.

Strategi :
Usahakan Selalu menjaga jarak Sell Buy sebesar 100 point (maksimum) Atau jika harga naik dan turun posisi Buy dan Sell nya masih di kisaran harga Buy dan Sell

Keberanian cutt loss untuk menjaga agar equity yang di pasar sebesar 5-10 juta. Yang manakah yang harus anda cut :
Jika anda mempunyai 3 posisi yaitu 1 lot open posisi dan 1 locking maka untuk mempertahankan equity saat equity berkurang adalah dengan cut loss.

Menjaga posisi locking. yaitu dengan ambil posisi baru dengan memanfaatkan arah naik dan turun. Ini untuk antisipasi posisi locking yang melebar. jika 150 point buy sell nya berarti anda punya peluang 75 point di titik tengah nya untuk ambil posisi baru.

Indikator Pembantu membaca pergerakan naik atau turun.
( Pengaruh RSI , %R William, dan Money Flow Index )
Indikator RSI sangat tepat dipakai untuk membaca market overbought (jenuh beli) dan oversold (jenuh jual).

Jika RSI sudah 70 dengan harga %R di area -20 maka kemungkinan harga akan berbalik turun.
Jika RSI sudah 70 namun harga %R diarea -60 maka kemungkinan harga akan terus naik sampai harga %R William bergerak ke area -20 atau O (nol)

sebaliknya :

Jika RSI sudah 30 dengan harga %R di area -80 maka kemungkinan harga akan berbalik naik.

Jika RSI sudah 30 namun harga %R diarea -60 maka kemungkinan harga akan terus turun sampai harga %R William bergerak ke area -80 atau -100

Bagaimana bisa memperoleh profit 100% dalam 6 hari ?

1. Mengikuti trend pergerakan. jika trend naik maka kita lakukan buy 1 lot. ketika buy 1 ternyata menghasilkan profit maka kita melakukan lagi buy 1 lot lagi. Sehingga total ada 2 lot buy. Saat keuntungan buy pertama sudah cukup maka buy pertama bisa diliquid. Jika buy yang kedua juga sudah profit maka bisa diliquid juga. Namun apabila buy kedua merugi maka kita langsung cepat mengunci buy kedua dengan sell 1 lot. Jadi supaya bisa profit cepat maka yang dilakukan adalah memasang jaring2 buy dan sell. Jika buy nya profit bisa diliquid, jika sell

nya profit bisa diliquid. Strategi ini harus dipertahankan dengan tetap menjaga total point yang ada di market katakanlah hanya 100 point. Dengan satu buy satu sell atau dengan 1 locking 1 open.

2. Membaca pergerakan indikatir teknikal dan candlestick. Indikator yang dipakai RSI, %R William, Money Flow Indeks Moving Average, mapping Trend (garis merah dalam chart seperti terlampir ) Maping trend diambil dari harga kronologis support resistance dan arah trend pergerakan candle.

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Hal Penting Yang harus Dihindari Saat Trading

Untuk Anda yang suka dengan transaksi Indek secara membabi buta atau agresif berikut beberapa saran agar Anda tidak mengalami kesalahan fatal dalam transaksi Indek dan berakhir dengan kekecewaan :

1. Jangan masuk market jika Anda tidak yakin dengan mengetahui posisi harga dan kemungkinan2 harga akan bergerak. Banyak yang melakukan transaksi dengan hanya mengikuti hati nurani. Kata-kata "sepertinya naik dan sepertinya turun" hendaknya harus dibuang. Ini biasa terjadi pada investor yang cenderung spekulan / spekulasi. Dalam transaksi Indek memang ada unsur spekulasi tapi spekulasi bukan terbaik. Anda harus memahami unsur teknikal dan unsur fundamental.

2. Jika Anda melakukan aksi Beli / Buy pada saat harga sudah cukup tinggi meskipun analisa fundamental dan teknikal masih akan bullish / naik. Ini juga mengandung resiko. Jika hal ini sudah terjadi maka bagi yang suka transaksi harian dan equity tidak terlalu besar SEGERA lakukan antisipasi dengan cara averaging, atau locking. Jangan sekali -kali hold jika anda tidak ingin equity anda tergerus dan memperlebar masalah. Hal yang perlu diketahui agar anda buy diposisi tinggi, Apakah Indikator RSI dikisaran 70 dan William %R sudah indikasikan overbought ? lakukan selalu dengan analisa awal sebelum masuk market.

3. Hilangkan dari pikiran anda bahwa harga akan kembali. Jangan terlalu percaya dengan kata-kata "harga pasti akan kembali lagi". Jangan menaruh harapan terlalu tinggi kepada market yang tidak selamanya bisa anda duga. Jangan korbankan equity anda hanya gara-gara anda emosi kenapa keputusan anda salah. Jalan terbaik adalah mengelola resiko anda secara disiplin. Tentukan berapa point toleransi untuk profit dan berapa toleransi untuk resiko anda. Takut rugi dan akhirnya harus hold adalah tindakan yang kurang bijaksana. Aturlah transaksi sehingga setiap transaksi yang menghasilkan keuntungan anda putar kembali di market untuk posisi baru. Jika ini pertimbangan anda, maka anda akan mendapatkan hal penting bahwa strategi lebih penting daripada emosi.

4. Buang pikiran negatif jauh-jauh tentang broker anda. Demikian sebaliknya hilangkan pikiran negatif tentang investor anda. Kerjasama dan saling percaya adalah kunci transaksi yang nyaman dan menguntungkan. Transaksi yang baik adalah transaksi yang dilakukan saat keduanya sama-sama memahami strategi. Gali perbedaan strategi dan hilangkan yang mana benar dan yang mana kurang benar. Hilangkan prinsip dagang di bisnis ini dimana pengeluaran sedikit sedikit dan hasil besar. Kalau anda sebagai investor berpikir "saya hanya akan keluar market / posisi liquid jika keuntungan sudah besar dan saya hanya berikan sedikit kepada broker" ini juga kurang bijaksana. Ingat jika anda sebagai investor, sekali-sejkali bermurah hatilah kepada broker anda kalau memang itu untuk keamanan equity anda dan membuka jalan rejeki anda. Tidak ada salahnya jika anda penuhi keinginan broker dalam kondisi yang memang sulit. Khan tidak setiap waktu khan harus berbaik hati kepada broker ?

Ada beberapa hala lain lagi yang harus diperhatikan baik anda sebagai broker dan atau investor. Selangkapnya bisa Anda dapatkan memalui email atau informasi per telepon dengan mengisi form berikut :

Name:
City:
Phone:
E-Mail Adress :

Pergerakan Nikkei Index 5 Juni 2009

Indikator yang dipergunakan :
RSI (relative Strenght Index )
William Percentage (%W)
Flow Money Index (MFI 14 day)

Technical Analysis :

Pada hari ke-3 perdagangannya indeks kembali terkoreksi, meskipun pola penurunannya sedikit tertahan/tidak drastis. Hal ini dianggap normal setelah mencatat gain sehari terbesarnya pada sesi Senin lalu. Dengan demikian tidak menutup kemungkinan pada sesi ini indeks bergerak flat lower.

Yang perlu menjadi perhatian adalah resisten 38.2% fibonacci retracement 9874 dan support EMA 20 di 9411 yang apabila terjadi breakout salah satu level ketahanan tersebut, maka kemungkinan akan terjadi konfirmasi trend. Namun jika volatilitas terlihat normal, diperkirakan indeks bergerak dengan range yang relatif sama.

Fundamental News :

Konfirmasi mengenai pemulihan ekonomi akan mendapatkan beban tambahan karena penguatan indexs di minggu depan, setelah minggu ini pemerintah Jepang menaikkan estimasi kinerja ekonomi dan data ekonomi yang dirilis juga memberikan sentimen positif tambahan. Market masih tetap bagus meskipun sudah overheating, didukung oleh bagusnya data ekonomi global yang dikeluarkan minggu ini antara lain dari Manufacture China, US pending homes sales dan GDP Australia.

Strategi Day Trade :
Apabila Indikator RSI dan William mengindikasikan bersamaan untuk buy, maka dengan tambahan Money Flow Index sudah cukup beralasan untuk masuk market.

Selanjutnya : 10 Tips menentukan Sell atau Buy

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Forex dan CFD populer karena fasilitas yang didukung mobile trading software MetaTrader 4 platform. Perdagangan langsung dari grafik, terbagi dalam banyak kemampuan, kemampuan untuk program sinyal transaksi, dan tidak terbatas pada grafik dan indikator teknis termasuk orang-orang yang banyak menggunakannya . MetaTrader sangat ideal bagi pedagang dan profesional . Semua nilai mata uang utama telah diisi langsung di antar pasar, tanpa intervensi agen atau penundaan. Detail terlhat pada gambar.

Uji MetaTrader software gratis banyak ditawarkan ke calon client. Untuk download file instalasi dibutuhkan 3.5Mb ke PC Anda, dan memulai menginstal program, untuk memeriksa petunjuk yang muncul pada monitor anda. Istimewanya lagi download memerlukan waktu hanya 5-10 menit secara online tanpa kesulitan berarti.

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ICTS berbasis Windows Trading Software: Download Disini
MetaTrader Trading Software: Download Disini
Bagaimana cara Tempatkan Trade?
Bagaimana cara yang Tutup Posisi?

Rekening dan Login

* Buka Account hidup
* Free Demo Account
* Login: Demo Trading
* Login: Live Trading


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Mobile Trading

Perdagangan klien dapat menggunakan perangkat mobile mereka (ponsel atau perangkat lainnya WAP). Mobile trading klien adalah solusi yang memungkinkan para pedagang untuk login ke account mereka, tempat, memodifikasi, dan menghapus pesanan perdagangan, melihat harga saat ini, dan buka posisi.

Mobile Trading aplikasi yang tersedia sebagai aplikasi WAP (format yang didukung oleh sebagian besar ponsel), serta aplikasi i-Mode (format yang populer di Jepang). The WAP dan aplikasi i-Mode adalah sama dalam fungsi dan dapat diakses melalui link yang sama.

Mobile Trading memungkinkan klien kemampuan untuk melihat dan perdagangan semua GCI pasar (mata uang, indeks, saham, dan komoditas) sepanjang waktu, bahkan saat jauh dari komputer mereka. Fungsi meliputi:

Real time set harga
Lihat posisi
Order posisi jual beli
Ubah Order
Menghapus Order

Untuk login, browse ke website.com / mobile pada ponsel Anda atau perangkat WAP. Dari sana anda akan dapat memilih jenis account Anda dan masukkan Username dan Password. Kemampuan mobile trading secara otomatis akan diaktifkan secara real time.

Perdagangan terminal untuk Forex, CFD dan Futures di pasar PDA

Bagaimana MetaTrader 4 Mobile dan PDA bersinergi bagi transaksi perdagangan ?

Online terminal untuk mobile trading di Forex, Futures dan CFD pasar menggunakan PDA. Fasiliatas yang nyaman dan compatible. Alat aktif untuk transaksi yang memungkinkan transaksi dari manapun di dunia. Grafik, 30 indikator teknis, uraian berita . Meliputi transaksi perdagangan dari berbagai kegiatan dan order transaksi membolehkan untuk mengendalikan perdagangan dengan fleksibilitas yang besar. Resolusi VGA dan dukungan multilingual interface membuat perdagangan lebih nyaman. Terminal dapat terhubung ke pialang dengan jaringan lalu lintas rendah. Real-time demo yang tersedia melalui berbagai perusahaan broker secara gratis . Terinstall dengan MS Windows Mobile untuk Pocket PC 2002 atau lebih tinggi.

Meta trader for mobile ini bisa di jalankan di PDA dan smartphone mobile. Untuk PDA dibutuhkan minimal sistem operasi berbasis Windows Pocket PC 2002, Windows Mobile 2003, Windows Mobile 5, 6 or 6.1. Sedangkan untuk smart phone minimal sistem operasi yang dibutuhkan Windows Mobile 2003 Smartphone Edition, Windows Mobile 5.0, 6 or 6.1. Kalau gak salah untuk SE 530i berbasis symbian ya … ato malah java. Jadi belum bisa di pasang untuk SE bisa X1, w950i

Selengkapnya bisa isikan data di form berikut untuk detail download dan informasi lainnya :

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Bagaimana Etika Bertransaksi Seorang Broker

Seorang Wakil Pialang disekal dan dicabut ijinnya oleh Bappebti . Ada apa ? beberapa pertimbangan kapankah seorang dibekukan ijin wakil pialang dan jelas nomor ijin wakil pialangnya akan dicabut.
Menurut beberapa sumber seputar pelaku perdagangan berjangka bisa saja karena melakukan tindakan-tindakan yang melanggar peraturan hukum yang telah dikeluarkan oleh Bappebti. beberapa diantaranya adalah :
1. Melakukan praktek perdagangan diluar bursa. Artinya transaksi telah dilakukan diluar jam transaksi resmi dari investasi. Atau bisa saja menggunakan dana investor untuk transaksi diluar bursa yang telah disepakati.
2. Melakukan praktek-praktek perdagangan tanpa ijin.
Mungkin ada beberapa kasus lain yang sedikit berbeda yang jelas-jelas merugikan dan melanggar Undang_undang. Ini baru beberapa .. dan jika ada yang lain ... ?

Bagaimana cara terbaik perusahaan pialang berpromosi ?

Setiap perusahaan pialang mempunyai cara mempromosikan perusahaannnya dengan melalui website perusahaan. Mulai dari Trading System, Regulation On-line, Metatrader On-line, Download info, Payment Info, Technical Outlook, Agrrement, Trading Rule Via telepon, Pilihan On line trading, Injection and Withdrawal Form, Company Profile.

Berikut pula selalu disertakan sejumlah link ke beberapa instansi pemerintah seperti Bappebti, KBI.

Namun saya belum melihat perkembangan baru yang seharusnya dipertimbangkan sebagai sarana investasi yang cenderung client oriented. Termasuk didalamnya adalah tidak tersedianya cukup tempat berpendapat tentang seluk beluk investasi di bidang indek hang seng , nikkei, atau kospi.

Terlebih lagi saya melihat ada beberapa kecenderungan beberapa perusahaan yang salah dalam melakukan cara perekrutan staff dan calon investor. Saya menyadari bahwa sebenarnya ada banyak media tools marketing on-line yang bisa di download di internet secara gratis bahkan berbayar yang bila dipakai akan cukup banyak membantu dari segi administrasi perekrutan data calon investor . Sebagai staff pemasaran seharusnya dibekali dengan kemampuan dalam strategi marketing on-line dimulai dari list data calon investor, cara follow up, bahkan perlu juga diajarkan bagaimana menjadikan prospek menjadi target closing.

Sungguh disesalkan bahwa semua proses kinerja marketing atau bahkan wakil pialangpun enderung manual / gaya konvensioanal seperti para marketing kebanyakan. Padahal kalau perusahaan-perusahaan perdagangan berjangka ini mengetahui cara lain yang otomatis mendatangkan list prospek otomatis dari setiap kunjungan ke website perusahaan, maka memang harus mulai dilihat peranan tools marketing on-line yang banyak disediakan on-line. Bahkan jika dikembangkan lebih lanjut bagaimana menarik pengunjung website (investor) maka bisa dikembangkan bagaimana cara menampilkan gaya marketing dengan sistem otomatis baiak dari jenis produk, simulasi, pemberian traning secara on-line seperti media YouTube yang bisa menjelaskan bagaimana menjelaskan bisnis secara profesional.
Coba saja lihat dibeberapa website besar seperti Amazon, Ebay, melakukan cara pemasaran produk melalui berbagai cara. Baik secara pre-member, seller produk atau affiliasi. Perlunya kesadaran baru dalam bisnis sekarang ini yang cenderung autoresponder dengan biaya bulanan yang $10 / bulan atau $72/ tahun seharusnya mulai dilirik oleh perusahaan-perusahaan yang cenderung memperhatikan keuntungan dan kenyamanan investor dalam mendapatkan informasi, keluhan dan kenyamanan bertransaksi.
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Plan Trading Hang Seng dan Nikkei

HANG SENG : konsilidasi antara : 12000-15000.
Peluangnya,jika Bapak Beli di harga 13000 itu adalah 15000-13000 = 2000 poin = $10.000
Resiko , jika beli di 13000 adalah : 13000-12000= 1000 poin :$5000

Namun jika Bpk BELI di 12000 Apa Peluang Bapak 3000 poin , resikonya hanya jika fundamentalnya NEGATIF ( Ekonomi global masih buruk) Demikian juga jika sell maka bisa Sell di kisaran 15000 untuk memanfaatkan penurunannnya.

Dari file Kronologi Indek yang saya lampirkan disimpulkan bahwa moment konsilidasi, masih cukup kuat sampai beberapa minggu ke depan.
Jadi Kalau saya boleh sarankan saat ini itu untuk "BELI" di harga 12000 atau 13000, dan "JUAL" di harga 15000an.
Itu saran saya untuk market di HANGSENG.....


Market "NIKKEI"
Saat ini market Nikkei masih konsilidasi di range 7000-9500.
Jadi saya sarankan beli diharga 7000-7500 dan jual di harga 9500. karena Trend saat ini masih konsilidasi. (Harga masih bergerak disini-sini aja ).

Pengaruh Buat Nasabah : Momemn konsolidasi selalu menjadi momen yang ditunggu untuk memperoleh Profit. Kenapa ?. Hal ini merupakan harga2 dimana bila nasabah mau beli atau jual maka harga tersebut akan terjemput menjadi profit. Harga bolak-balik di area konsolidasi. Meskipun kadang sempat floating, namun akan balik profit. Dengan syarat bahwa ketahanan dana cukup untuk antisipasi floating.

Sistem Trading : Day Trade maupun Overnight

Info penting tentang Plan Trading GRATIS !! bisa diperoleh secara gratis dng mengisi form berikut

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Raising Capital in Gray Areas by Joseph Lizio

No matter what the market is doing this month or this quarter, there are still strong, pre-public companies looking for growth capital to expand into new markets, launch new, wanted products, or too simply increase market share.

Down markets usually close the doors for IPOs or new secondary offerings. Thus, companies poised to take the next step, going public, are forced to pull their registration and wait, or hope, for a quick turn in the economy. Globally, 83 companies pulled their IPOs and some 24 others postponed their offerings during the first quarter of this year; mostly citing declining markets and recession concerns per The New York Times.

So, what can these companies do?

Many are looking too venture capital to raise enough cash to get them through the next few months or years until the IPO windows open again. But, Venture Capital comes with many strings that could be detrimental or hindering including lost of control and dilution.

There are other ways - private placements.

According to Wikipedia, '…a private placement is an offering of securities that are not registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Such offerings exploit an exemption offered by the Securities Act of 1933 that comes with several restrictions, including a prohibition against general solicitation. This exemption allows companies to avoid quarterly reporting requirements and many of the legal liabilities associated with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.'

There are some caveats regarding the amounts that can be raised through private placements. Under 504, companies can raise up to $1 million in a 12-month period. Under 505, companies can raise up to $5 million in a 12-month period - with restrictions to the type and number of investors. Under 506, companies can raise any amount provided their investors meet very strict guidelines - usually institutional investors including banks and financial institutions, pension funds, and insurance companies who are still, despite declining markets, liable for hundreds of billions in capital that must be efficiently put to work.

Benefits of private placements for companies include:

- Can be used by mature companies, start-ups, or anything in between. - Much lower cost to issue than an IPO. - Little or no reporting requirements. - Limit the amount of information that a company has to disclose by limiting the number and type of investors. - Can issue debt and/or equity. - Can raise capital quickly. - Great for small issues or issues encumbered by complex security measures. And most important, - Can be sold to some of your stakeholders like your suppliers, your distributors, your retailers, or your franchisees - companies that already know you and respect your organization.

In conjunction with these private placements, the SEC has adopted Rule 144A of the Securities Act of 1933 that allows these securities to be traded amongst each other - provided the seller and investor are qualified institutional buyers with over $100 million in investable assets. The goal of this rule was to create liquidity for these private, restricted shares as well as foster foreign companies to seek equity in the US market.

John Jacobs, Executive Vice President of Nasdaq, stated, "The amount of capital raised last year (2006) through the 144A market - $162 billion - was bigger than all the IPOs and secondary offerings on Nasdaq, the NYSE, and Amex put together."

Further, the 144A market continues to grow as organizations like the Nasdaq are creating electronic trading platforms for these private placements. Prior to these new trading platforms, investors of these shares were extremely limited with these investments. They would typically buy and hold these securities until the investee went public.

Bottom line, if your company needs public type money but does not want to wait for the IPO markets to reopen, private placements may be the way to go. Start by talking with you CPA, your national bank, or your investment banker.

About the Author

Joseph Lizio holds and MBA in Finance and Entrepreneurship and has a strong commercial lending background. In his current venture, Mr. Lizio is the founder of www.businessmoneytoday.com - a site designed to help business owners find and obtain capital to grow their businesses

Markets All Over The Place by Australasian Investment Review

A bad day for shares again.But did we see a steadying emerge in late US trading?

After bouncing all over the place and mostly in the red, the US markets looked like closing with a small gain, but anther late burst of selling saw the major indexes end off up to 2% or so.

The Dow fell 190 points, or 2%, the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 1.1% and Nasdaq dropped lost 0.8%.

The major indexes again swung wildly throughout the session, with the Dow down as much as 252 points and up as much as 180.

The Dow's fall was also due to the weakness in Alcoa which reported a 52% slump in third quarter earnings the night before. Alcoa fell 13%.

Gold rose, then eased, but was still up, copper and oil weakened and some grains were firmer in Chicago.Gold was up $US27 an ounce to around $US909 in New York.

Our market was looking to start higher, but the late drop on Wall Street pushed the futures market down by 12 points.

The co-ordinated interest rate cuts from the Fed, the ECB, the Swiss, Swedish, Canadian and the UK central banks helped: the 0.50% drop in each case was dramatic, but emphasised the forcefulness of our 1% cut from the RBA which has put Australia firmly ahead of the policy curve.

China wasn't a part of the deal, but trimmed its key rate by 0.27% in a surprise move.

European markets were down sharply last night with falls of 3% to 5% common for another day. Japan fell more than 9% and other Asian markets were off more than 5%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 8.2% in an example of near panic trading, just like Tokyo.

London was very weak on the looming bailout fund announcement for the country's banks from the UK Government. London's FTSE 100 fell nearly 8% early on as investors were unconvinced about the bailout package.

Europe's Stoxx 600 Index was off 6% taking its loss this week so far to 13%. But the selling eased and it recovered from being down almost 8% atone stage.

The London FTSE 100 index of leading shares shed 5.2% after the bank bailout plan was announced, while in Paris the CAC 40 fell 6.4%.

Frankfurt's DAX lost 5.8%, the Swiss market shed 5.5% and 5.2% in Madrid after the Government there revealed a bailout plan. Milan fell 5.7% after it was suggested the country's banks needed to raise more capital.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 7.4% with Tokyo's Nikkei off 9.4%, the biggest drop since October 1987. Australia lost 5% or more, Indonesia shut after a 10% fall and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell to a fresh 2 year low despite an effective rate cut.

The Index is now off more than 42% this year

In Europe Russia's market was again closed after the main index fell more than 10%. The main US dollar index was off 14% when trading stopped. trading was also halted in the Ukraine and in Rumania.

The euphoria of Australia's rate cut on Tuesday was swamped after Wall Street fell more than 5% in a miserable day's trading that extended across the region.

Oil was easier, down by more than $US4 to just over $US86 a barrel, a 10 month low; copper lost ground to around $US2.49 a pound and gold edged up $US4 to trade around $US886 in Europe last night.

The Indonesian market was halted when the main index fell more than 10%. Jakarta's main index has tumbled 21% in the past week; the biggest drop in 25 years. Brazil's market was at two year lows. It's down 22% in the past five days.

The Nikkei plunged 9.4%, its biggest one-day drop since the 1987 stock market crash, as fear spread of a global recession, fuelled by expectations of a slide in profits at Toyota and the rapidly firming yen.

Volkswagen this week moved past a falling toyota to become the world's biggest car maker by market value. Volkswagen is subject to takeover speculation in Germany.

Tokyo brokers said that panic over the fast-spreading financial crisis dragged down markets across the region and in Japan the Nikkei set another five-year closing low.

The Hang Seng slumped 5.5% despite Hong Kong's monetary authority cutting interest rates to keep the credit crisis from spreading.

India's Sensex Index fell 3.1%; China's CSI 300 lost 3.8% and South Korea's Kospi lost 5.8% to the lowest since July 2006.

Australia's ASX 200 Index declined more than 5% as building approvals declined for a seventh month and consumer confidence fell. Alumina, an associate of Alcoa, lost ground after partner Alcoa reported a 52% drop in earnings. Alumina shares closed down 16% at $A2.50.

It was Australia's second-worst day of the year, closing down 5%, wiping out all of Tuesday's Reserve Bank-inspired rally and adding more than 3% in losses for good measure.

It was also the lowest close in three years for the stockmarket, while the Aussie dollar also plunged, hitting a low of well under 68 US cents (67.49 US cents in local trading)

The ASX200 index closed 230.6 points, or 5%, lower at 4388.1. The fall was second only to January 22's 7.1% hammering.

Among the banks, the ANZ Bank lost 6.3%, or $1.15, to $17.00, while NAB shed $1.65, or 6.4%, to $24.35.

Westpac dropped 6.9% or $1.60, to $21.67. The Commonwealth was in a trading halt after announcing it would pay $2.1 billion for BankWest, raising some $2 billion from institutional investors. St George lost 7.4%, or $2.24, to $28.12 and Suncorp shed 8.1%, or 89 cents, to $10.11.

Macquarie Group shares lost 9.2%, or $3.30, to $32.50 and Babcock and Brown fell 20%, or 25.5 cents, to $1.05.

Mining companies were again savaged as investors ignored the impact of a falling Australian dollar to focus on the worsening commodity prices and diminishing prospects for global economic growth.

BHP Billiton lost 5.7%, or $1.80, to $29.90, while its takeover target, Rio Tinto dropped 7.6%, or $6.65, to $81.12.

IMPORTANT: AIR reports about financial markets and investment products in the widest sense possible. The AIR website and all its contents is prepared for general information only, and as such, the specific needs, investment objectives or financial situation of any particular user have not been taken into consideration. Individuals should therefore talk with their financial planner or advisor before making any investment decisions.

About the Author

Australasian Investment Review (AIR) is a free daily news service covering global financial markets with a focus on Australia, New Zealand and Asia. Subscriptions are free at aireview.com.au

Stock Market Index History by Bradley A Johnson

Stock market indices play an important role in gauging the economic health and progress of a country. Oftentimes someone will say "the stock market is up" or "down" but that is not necessarily a meaningful statement. Understanding how stock market indices are calculated and their history can be very instrumental in understanding the stock market as a whole.

The Origin Of The Stock Market Index

As stock markets became more and more prevalent in industrialized countries, people began to look for a "barometer" of the stock market as a whole. The very first stock market index was the Dow Jones Transportation Average, which was created by Charles Dow in 1884. It was followed shortly thereafter by many more indexes like the Dow Jones Industrial Average which, in a very modified form, is still widely publicized and followed today.

How Indices Are Calculated

A stock market index is generally calculated by combining a weighted average of a set of particular stocks. For example, in the case of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 30 stocks are weighted by price to get a measurement of the market as a whole. It should be noted that all indices are somewhat arbitrary and are more useful as indicators of relative and historical growth rather than a raw number. Additionally, in many indices stocks often times are added or removed due to bankruptcies or simply becoming less relevant than another stock. Most recently Kraft Foods replace AIG in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Popular Stock Indices

The most popularly referenced American stock market indices are:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average - These are 30 of the largest American stocks.
The S&P 500 - The 500 large actively traded US stocks.
The NASDAQ Composite - An index of all the common stocks on the NASDAQ exchange.

Foreign Stock Indexes:

Other countries of course have their own stock markets and thus their own averages to use to measure them. Britain has the FTSE (pronounced like "Footsie") which is very similar to Americas S&P. Japan has their Nikkei average. Hong Kong has the Hang Seng. There are of course many more.

About the Author

Education is the key to success in the stock market. Arm yourself at Investing First Steps where you can learn all about investing including, how to start investing in the stock market.

Global Markets To Endure More Pain In 2009 by John S

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Global Markets To Endure More Pain In 2009 by John S

A record $14 trillion (£9.7tn) has been wiped off world share values in 2008 as many stockmarkets around the world suffered their worst 12 months on record.

As we enter 2009 things are not looking up, regardless of what bad advice you are getting from you broker or the selection of idiot financial analysts out there.

Turmoil in the financial system and the worst global recession since the 1970s have sent shares reeling. Global stocks, as measured by the MSCI index, have fallen by a record 44% over the year.

In London, the FTSE 100 index lost 31.3% in 2008, its worst annual decline since it was created in 1984, and following a 3.8% gain in 2007. It edged up 0.94% to 4434.17 on the last trading day of the year, a gain of 41.49 points. Banks, at the centre of the financial storm, were among the biggest losers ranging from HBOS, Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds TSB to Barclays. Mining companies Kazakhmys, Xstrata and Rio Tinto also fared badly as the economy worsened.

Drugmakers AstraZeneca and GlaxoSmithKline were among the best-performing stocks on the FTSE. British Energy was another big gainer, up more than 40% in a year in which the government secured the sale of its stake in the nuclear power firm to French energy giant EDF.

David Buik at BGC Partners talked of an "annus horribilis by any standards".

It started with the Northern Rock nationalisation, and got progressively worse. In March, US investment house Bear Stearns became the first major bank to be rescued from collapse and by the autumn scores of banks around the world had gone under - notably Lehman Brothers - or been bailed out. Lending between banks ground to a halt, triggering more government interventions, and most major economies slid into recession.

Sterling has also had its worst year against the euro since the single currency started life almost a decade ago. The pound staged a rally on the last day of the year, rising 2% to 95.44p versus the euro. But analysts say there was nothing to prevent further losses that could take the pair to parity, with UK interest rates set to fall close to zero in the new year from 2% now - far below rates in the eurozone, currently at 2.5%.

Against the dollar, the pound has lost nearly 27% over the year, the sharpest drop since the gold standard monetary system was abolished in 1971. It traded around $1.4605 today.

Oil dropped to $37 a barrel, heading for its worst year ever with a slump of more than 60%.

Last night, Wall Street took heart from Washington's expanded bail-out of the embattled auto sector, with the Dow Jones industrial average closing up 2.2%. The Dow is off nearly 35% so far this year.

The mainland European bourses that opened for a half day drifted marginally upwards but still registered their worst yearly losses for decades. The CAC-40 in Paris notched up a decline of 43%, the worst run in its 20-year history. Germany's Dax-30 closed down 40.4% yesterday while Italy's MIB-30 was off 48.5% and Spain's Ibex-35 down 47.5%.

The worst-performing stockmarket over the year was Russia's, where the benchmark RTS index plunged by 72%. Second worst hit was China's benchmark Shanghai composite index, which plummeted 65% - its largest-ever annual drop - after soaring more than 300% over 2006 and 2007.

"China's economy is obviously at a turning point. There are too many uncertainties, and past huge losses have made investors increasingly cautious," said Cheng Weiqing, an analyst at Citic Securities in Beijing.

Many investors are hoping for a better year in 2009, taking heart from the stock gains seen during December. "If there's any optimism, it's on the basis that stockmarkets recover in recessions," said "Now we have the real recession, rather than the phoney recession. Last year we were so optimistic that we were fooling ourselves. It's gone too far the other way."

Buik said the outlook for the UK was mixed. "With the dole queue likely to increase to 2.5 million by the end of May 2009, and with corporate profits in the next quarter likely to fall by 15% and with the housing market continuing to retrench, the immediate outlook for equities is unappetising," he said. "However, with many companies still paying reasonable dividends, the UK stockmarket should rally strongly in the second half of the year with the FTSE ending at 5000, as the UK attempts to dig itself out of recession."

Across Asia, stocks suffered record falls over the year, a painful change from its once-booming markets. In Tokyo, the benchmark Nikkei closed for the year yesterday having recorded the biggest annual percentage loss in its 58-year history. Modest gains in December - the first since May - did little to mitigate a yearly loss of 42% after the world's second-largest economy sank into recession.

In Hong Kong, also in recession, the Hang Seng index ended the year 48% lower, its worst annual drop since the global oil shock of the early 1970s. India's main index in Mumbai plummeted by 52%.

The South African stock exchange lost 27% this year and the rand slipped almost 30%

To expect the best in 2009 is just being unrealistic.

About the Author

For More Important Updates & Predictions Regarding The Economy Please Visit Our YOUTUBE Channel ==> http://www.youtube.com/myspacesecrets